Monday, March 27, 2023

Exploring state of mind in Poland

Tamara Cicic is a Serbian film producer from Belgrade, who’s been living in Poland for almost 2 years now. Even though coming to Poland...

Polish revitalization: fusing old and new

MIPIM 2023 - the world's largest real estate event, with 6,000 international investors and financial institutions, including 76 of the top 100 investment managers...

Polish cities pitching for international investors at Cannes

Poland: strong and stable - this was the motto of the Polish delegation during MIPIM 2023. Polish cities and the Polish Investment and Trade...

Transforming the CEE Region into a logistics hub of the future

Sylwia Ziemacka talked to Kustaa Valtonen, an Entrepreneur and Angel Investor, Founding Partner at Finest Bay Area Development; Peter Vesterbacka, Founder of FinEst Bay...

CPK moves into design stage

Poland’s giant airport project, Centralny Port Komunikacyjny (CPK) - the largest infrastructure program in Europe - has moved from planning to design, signing contracts...

EC lowered its forecast for Poland’s GDP

On Friday 11 November, the European Commission lowered its forecast for Poland’s GDP growth in 2022 from 5.2% to 4.0%, and in 2023 from 1.5% to 0.7%. According to the Commission, an economic rebound is to take place in 2024, when the economy will grow by 2.6%.

“Economic growth is expected to decelerate markedly in 2023 and 2024, before turning negative in early 2023. (…) Despite elevated inflation, private consumption growth is expected to remain strong thanks to strong political support, low unemployment and influx of displaced persons from Ukraine,” the commission writes.

The Commission also raised its forecasts for inflation in Poland – in 2022 to 13.3% (in July it forecast 12.2%) and in 2023 13.8% (in July, it forecast 9%). Inflation is expected to stabilize in 2024, falling to 4.9%.

Inflation in Poland is rising “due to rising commodity prices, rising production costs and relatively high demand, which allowed companies to pass costs on to consumers,” the commission says.

“In the future, despite the government’s electricity price freeze, energy price inflation is expected to remain high, mainly due to the increase in natural gas prices, especially in early 2023. Support measures, in particular VAT rate reductions, are expected to be withdrawn in January 2023, also putting upward pressure on energy prices. Nevertheless, the EC estimates that after peaking at almost 19% in early 2023, inflation will fall to 4.3%. at the end of 2024.

EU officials forecast that the unemployment rate will rise only slightly to 3.1% in 2024. “In turn, high inflation allows companies to adapt to rising energy prices by lowering real wages, which are to fall in 2022 and 2023,” it notes.

Sylwia Ziemacka
Sylwia Ziemacka
“I believe our unique selling point is that we focus on what brings us together. Poland Weekly offers something you will not find anywhere else: a truly international and unifying perspective focused on content that builds cooperation and mutual understanding. This attitude doesn't make us naïve, but it allows us to focus on mutual understanding and a search for solutions. There are so many new challenges that we are all facing, such as energy transformation, climate change and supply chain disruption, to name but a few. By working together and sharing good practices, we can achieve so much more.”